News | Environment
21 Jan 2026 9:28
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  •   Home > News > Environment

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days



    Among a slew of earthquakes yesterday were three major ones - including an 8.1 magnitude quake near the Kermadec Islands.

    GNS Science has three future scenarios: the first being there is an up-to 90 per cent chance of more earthquakes.

    Seismologist Matt Gerstenberger says it's likely they will decrease in frequency.

    But he says there is an 80 per cent probability of quakes between magnitude 7 and 7.9.

    Scenario two is only 15 per cent likely to happen, and would see more quakes closer to magnitude 8.

    Scenario three is only one per cent likely - and would see quakes of 8.5 or greater.

    © 2026 Newstalk ZB, NZCity

     Other Environment News
     20 Jan: A State of Emergency remains on the cards for other parts of Northland - after being declared for a week in Whangarei district - already pelted with heavy rain
     20 Jan: NZTA says the damage at Waioweka Gorge on State Highway 2 - from the weekend's flooding, is extensive
     20 Jan: Concerns over how the already soaked Northland will cope with more localised downpours
     20 Jan: China ramps up crackdown on Christians amid global political pressures
     19 Jan: Small Northland communities got the worst of the weekend's flooding, but more is to come
     19 Jan: Biosecurity officials hunting Queensland fruit flies in Auckland - have found nothing after another weekend of precautions
     19 Jan: Some people in Northland remain cut-off due to flooding - including a group at a DOC campsite in Puriri Bay, south-east of the Bay of Islands
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