News | Environment
10 Feb 2026 12:00
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  •   Home > News > Environment

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days



    Among a slew of earthquakes yesterday were three major ones - including an 8.1 magnitude quake near the Kermadec Islands.

    GNS Science has three future scenarios: the first being there is an up-to 90 per cent chance of more earthquakes.

    Seismologist Matt Gerstenberger says it's likely they will decrease in frequency.

    But he says there is an 80 per cent probability of quakes between magnitude 7 and 7.9.

    Scenario two is only 15 per cent likely to happen, and would see more quakes closer to magnitude 8.

    Scenario three is only one per cent likely - and would see quakes of 8.5 or greater.

    © 2026 Newstalk ZB, NZCity

     Other Environment News
     09 Feb: Landslides are NZ’s deadliest natural hazard. Why does it still tolerate the risk?
     09 Feb: A major blaze at a Taupo high school's been brought under control
     09 Feb: A critical road which connects Gisborne and the Eastern Bay of Plenty re-opens this morning for essential travel
     08 Feb: Wellington officials are pushing for an investigation into the city's wastewater infrastructure
     08 Feb: Residents in Hawke's Bay's Kai-rakau have entered a second consecutive month of level 4 water restrictions
     08 Feb: Water warnings along the capital's South Coast are expected to remain for another week, as officials wait for more test results
     08 Feb: The first of new Kakapo chicks are expected to hatch in the coming week
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