News | Environment
4 Feb 2026 7:40
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  •   Home > News > Environment

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days



    Among a slew of earthquakes yesterday were three major ones - including an 8.1 magnitude quake near the Kermadec Islands.

    GNS Science has three future scenarios: the first being there is an up-to 90 per cent chance of more earthquakes.

    Seismologist Matt Gerstenberger says it's likely they will decrease in frequency.

    But he says there is an 80 per cent probability of quakes between magnitude 7 and 7.9.

    Scenario two is only 15 per cent likely to happen, and would see more quakes closer to magnitude 8.

    Scenario three is only one per cent likely - and would see quakes of 8.5 or greater.

    © 2026 Newstalk ZB, NZCity

     Other Environment News
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     03 Feb: Communities around Hawke's Bay are commemorating 95 years since the 1931 earthquake
     02 Feb: Humidity in Auckland has hit 93 percent - and MetService says temperatures in the Super City are not expected to drop much lower than 29 degrees as the day goes on
     02 Feb: The operation is underway to submerge the capsized tourist boat in Akaroa Harbour
     02 Feb: Investigations are underway into what led a tourist boat to run aground just inside the Akaroa Heads
     01 Feb: MetService says this weekend's the perfect time for those in the South Island to get out, before the weather takes a turn
     01 Feb: Strong weather's expected to hit parts of the South Island early next week
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