News | Environment
2 Mar 2026 9:43
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  •   Home > News > Environment

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days



    Among a slew of earthquakes yesterday were three major ones - including an 8.1 magnitude quake near the Kermadec Islands.

    GNS Science has three future scenarios: the first being there is an up-to 90 per cent chance of more earthquakes.

    Seismologist Matt Gerstenberger says it's likely they will decrease in frequency.

    But he says there is an 80 per cent probability of quakes between magnitude 7 and 7.9.

    Scenario two is only 15 per cent likely to happen, and would see more quakes closer to magnitude 8.

    Scenario three is only one per cent likely - and would see quakes of 8.5 or greater.

    © 2026 Newstalk ZB, NZCity

     Other Environment News
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     28 Feb: All Black Jordie Barrett is backing the talent of Hurricanes teammate Callum Harkin to step up at first five ahead of this afternoon's Super Rugby contest with the Fijian Drua in Lautoka
     28 Feb: Concerns for North Island Brown Kiwi living on Kawau Island, north of Auckland - after survey results show low breeding success
     27 Feb: A mere 48 hours after Wellington's Mayor went for a swim prove the sea was safe, the southern coast has again been declared unsuitable for swimming
     27 Feb: It's expected to be months before storm-ravaged highways on the Coromandel Peninsula are fully restored
     26 Feb: A new space race could turn our atmosphere into a ‘crematorium for satellites’
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