News | Environment
23 Jan 2026 8:31
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  •   Home > News > Environment

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days



    Among a slew of earthquakes yesterday were three major ones - including an 8.1 magnitude quake near the Kermadec Islands.

    GNS Science has three future scenarios: the first being there is an up-to 90 per cent chance of more earthquakes.

    Seismologist Matt Gerstenberger says it's likely they will decrease in frequency.

    But he says there is an 80 per cent probability of quakes between magnitude 7 and 7.9.

    Scenario two is only 15 per cent likely to happen, and would see more quakes closer to magnitude 8.

    Scenario three is only one per cent likely - and would see quakes of 8.5 or greater.

    © 2026 Newstalk ZB, NZCity

     Other Environment News
     23 Jan: Destruction and tragedy have come in the wake of slips caused by record rainfall in the upper North Island
     22 Jan: Young girl among missing campers at New Zealand's Mount Maunganui after landslide — as it happened
     22 Jan: A large slip at Mt Maunganui's Mauao has hit the campsite at the hill's base
     21 Jan: The wild weather's rapidly evolving - with more downpours on the way
     21 Jan: Whitianga's completely cut off by flooding - and Thames Coromandel District Council's urgently asking anyone in low-lying areas across the district to move to higher ground immediately
     20 Jan: A State of Emergency remains on the cards for other parts of Northland - after being declared for a week in Whangarei district - already pelted with heavy rain
     20 Jan: NZTA says the damage at Waioweka Gorge on State Highway 2 - from the weekend's flooding, is extensive
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     Today's News

    Rugby:
    New Zealand's elite rugby talent must focus on the task at hand, as they await a new All Blacks coach 8:17

    Entertainment:
    Summer House stars Kyle Cooke and Amanda Batula have split 8:10

    Law and Order:
    Venezuela's El Helicoide was built as a world-leading retail hub. Then it became a notorious 'torture prison' 8:07

    Politics:
    ACC believes it's already seeing results from a new plan to dig itself out of a fiscal hole 8:07

    Politics:
    An ex Christchurch Boys' High School teacher has been awarded 25-thousand dollars in compensation, despite losing her unjustified dismissal case 7:57

    Politics:
    A high police presence will be visible in Masterton today for a gang-related funeral 7:47

    Entertainment:
    Emeli Sande and her fiancee Yoana Karemova have split 7:40

    International:
    Questioning your relationship in the new year? You're not alone 7:37

    Environment:
    Destruction and tragedy have come in the wake of slips caused by record rainfall in the upper North Island 7:37

    Accident and Emergency:
    Several people including children are still missing after the landslide at Mount Maunganui - where search teams have been working through the night 7:27


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