News | Environment
23 Jan 2026 17:02
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  •   Home > News > Environment

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days



    Among a slew of earthquakes yesterday were three major ones - including an 8.1 magnitude quake near the Kermadec Islands.

    GNS Science has three future scenarios: the first being there is an up-to 90 per cent chance of more earthquakes.

    Seismologist Matt Gerstenberger says it's likely they will decrease in frequency.

    But he says there is an 80 per cent probability of quakes between magnitude 7 and 7.9.

    Scenario two is only 15 per cent likely to happen, and would see more quakes closer to magnitude 8.

    Scenario three is only one per cent likely - and would see quakes of 8.5 or greater.

    © 2026 Newstalk ZB, NZCity

     Other Environment News
     23 Jan: Residents in weather ravaged areas are still being urged to avoid travelling if possible, with slips and flooding still plaguing the upper North Island
     23 Jan: Destruction and tragedy have come in the wake of slips caused by record rainfall in the upper North Island
     22 Jan: Young girl among missing campers at New Zealand's Mount Maunganui after landslide — as it happened
     22 Jan: A large slip at Mt Maunganui's Mauao has hit the campsite at the hill's base
     21 Jan: The wild weather's rapidly evolving - with more downpours on the way
     21 Jan: Whitianga's completely cut off by flooding - and Thames Coromandel District Council's urgently asking anyone in low-lying areas across the district to move to higher ground immediately
     20 Jan: A State of Emergency remains on the cards for other parts of Northland - after being declared for a week in Whangarei district - already pelted with heavy rain
     Top Stories

    RUGBY RUGBY
    All Blacks prop Tamaiti Williams has dismissed any suggestions of player power being behind the early exit of New Zealand head coach Scott Robertson More...


    BUSINESS BUSINESS
    Queensland crocodile capture rates double as removal zones expand More...



     Today's News

    Tennis:
    Belarusian world number one Aryna Sabalenka's led the charge into the fourth round at the Australian Open 16:47

    Rugby:
    All Blacks prop Tamaiti Williams has dismissed any suggestions of player power being behind the early exit of New Zealand head coach Scott Robertson 16:47

    Rugby:
    All Blacks prop Tamaiti Williams has dismissed any suggestions of player power being behind the early exit of New Zealand head coach Scott Robertson 16:17

    International:
    Donald Trump is obsessed with Greenland, but now his comments point to the 'entire Arctic' 16:07

    Law and Order:
    A man who threatened to blow up his Nelson home and neighbouring properties during a police standoff has been jailed 15:27

    Business:
    Queensland crocodile capture rates double as removal zones expand 14:17

    National:
    Trump’s Greenland grab is part of a new space race – and the stakes are getting higher 14:07

    Business:
    Dairy farmers could be in an earlier-than-expected pay day 13:47

    Business:
    The latest rise in inflation may be unexpected - but many will have felt its impact 13:27

    Soccer:
    Premier League side Aston Villa have guaranteed themselves a top-eight spot in football's Europa League after a 1-nil victory over Fenerbahce in Turkey 13:27


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