Rising unemployment is expected to add to the case for a lower OCR
Rising unemployment is expected to add to the case for a lower OCR
7 August 2025
Unemployment's hit a five-year high of 5.2 percent and is expected to rise further.
Economists now broadly expect the Reserve Bank to cut the Official Cash Rate by another 25-basis-points, to three-percent, in two weeks.
BNZ Chief Economist Mike Jones says further cuts now seem likely.
He says his team have been forecasting a neutral rate of 2.75 percent for years, but there's a chance the OCR could get to 2.5 percent in the current cycle.
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